Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.401001 2.550368 2.708264 2.888297 3.088741 3.306056 3.560838
2026-01-11 2.169085 2.375711 2.605664 2.883101 3.212279 3.595020 4.080815
2026-01-18 2.052697 2.296374 2.577560 2.931102 3.371376 3.912617 4.647007
2026-01-25 2.113586 2.419380 2.786586 3.270470 3.908500 4.748706 5.992627
2026-02-01 1.955323 2.261975 2.637107 3.142647 3.828259 4.763441 6.214283
2026-02-08 1.813906 2.114883 2.488214 2.999952 3.709205 4.703847 6.306767
2026-02-15 1.735058 2.040972 2.426470 2.965358 3.731526 4.842330 6.718635
2026-02-22 1.654149 1.959403 2.348899 2.902003 3.704861 4.901498 7.005930
2026-03-01 1.570764 1.870354 2.256228 2.810764 3.628646 4.874336 7.137071
2026-03-08 1.485863 1.775716 2.151515 2.696143 3.508602 4.765528 7.103762
2026-03-15 1.448462 1.742093 2.127217 2.693760 3.556320 4.929251 7.599319
2026-03-22 1.408102 1.702661 2.092800 2.674089 3.574847 5.044972 8.021737
2026-03-29 1.345093 1.634728 2.021914 2.605883 3.526373 5.066235 8.314188
2026-04-05 1.306206 1.598535 1.994348 2.601559 3.582057 5.281761 9.092570
2026-04-12 1.284651 1.584698 1.996977 2.642108 3.714106 5.654930 10.360090
2026-04-19 1.334351 1.671839 2.149254 2.926846 4.298431 7.028811 15.009326
2026-04-26 1.273106 1.598819 2.061600 2.819992 4.170284 6.900109 15.145521
2026-05-03 1.212199 1.524348 1.968964 2.700147 4.009016 6.678888 14.901131
2026-05-10 1.178715 1.488239 1.932496 2.671003 4.015176 6.835090 16.079806
2026-05-17 1.141116 1.444880 1.883230 2.617535 3.970163 6.866660 16.824497
2026-05-24 1.099641 1.394659 1.821724 2.540324 3.873336 6.762714 16.987065
2026-05-31 1.055122 1.338895 1.750088 2.442962 3.731125 6.534169 16.546366
2026-06-07 1.036289 1.320226 1.734776 2.440934 3.776589 6.772510 18.309790